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Market Commentary

Early Call 02/15/19 for Feb 15, 2019
This market commentary is for informational purposes only. The views and opinions offered in the report are solely those of Bunge Limited and its subsidiaries ("Bunge"). Bunge is not a futures broker and this is not an offer to buy or sell any commodity or futures contract. The information contained in this commentary has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but is not necessarily all-inclusive and is not guaranteed as to its accuracy. Persons acting on any information contained in this commentary are responsible for their own actions.
Good morning,

 

Overnight trade:

Small reversal in beans after yesterday’s bearish performance on the back of bearish US/China trade sentiment and macro factors. Recent strengthening of the dollar has led to pressure on US ag commodity prices. While both the Argentine Peso and Brazilian Real have reacted to this, their behavior has not been uniform, as the peso continues to weaken and the real is maintaining some strength vs the dollar. See charts below. The sentiment regarding the US/China trade talks suggest they are at the same standstill that they have been for a while. A lot of emphasis still remains on forced IP transfers and Chinese domestic subsidies. Reports yesterday indicated that the Chinese trade representatives offered to end their domestic subsidy practices but would not shed any light on any detail as to how; this seemed to be interpreted by the US counterparts as an empty offer. International forecasts for Brazil seem unchanged for the most part, with showers expected for the next week and a half over Brazil ag areas and below normal temperatures. Very recently Argentina has been experiencing dry weather, but 6-10 day forecasts are calling for above normal rain in the north and below normal rain in the south. Nopa will release its Jan crush data today, with the average market guess for crush at 169.6 mbu.

 

Export sales flash:

205,744 MT of corn sold for delivery to unknown destinations during the 2018/19 marketing year.

Have a nice day.

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